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Monday, October 10, 2022

Modeling civil unrest in the United States: some historical cases (Bryan Alexander*)

[Editor's note: This essay first appeared at BryanAlexander.org on September 6, 2022]

I’ve been modeling potential civil unrest in the US for a while, as some of you know (in terms of polycrisis, neonationalism, recent polls, after Trump, the 2020 election, 2018-2019, the 2016 election, egging on fears, and Sinclair Lewis). One way of doing this futuring work is by drawing on historical examples. History does not repeat, but some relevant  historical events can give us some rough ideas of how insurrections/civil war/rebellions/secession/etc. might play out.  At the least they give us examples to think with.

Today I wanted to offer a group of these examples, drawn from the past few generations, which might be useful.  For each one I’ll offer a very brief introduction, then explore how something similar might play out in the modern American setting.

One caveat: what follows are sketches of history, not serious historiography. Each one is way too short, and you should really dive into each on your own, including in comments. They are samples and summaries to stir your imaginations and investigations.

Another caveat. For these examples/models I assume a few details:

  1. Trump (and DeSantis, the most likely Trump successor now) live and keep doing their thing for at least a few years.
  2. Civil unrest happens, to some degree.
  3. Time horizon: medium term, the next 5 years, or so.

The future can easily invalidate #s 1 and 2.  While Trump often appears in rude health and, in American style, is rich enough to pay for top notch medical care, he also has poor health habits and is nearing 80.  He or DeSantis could, of course, be killed, either in accidents or by the time-honored American tradition of assassination.  As for my second assumption, we haven’t seen much unrest over the past five years, despite my forecasts.  We might not experience anything of the kind – and should hope to be so fortunate.

One last bit of throat-clearing: there are other historical examples we can draw from, especially on the global stage.  I have been working on others, but wanted to get some out there now. I’d love to hear your own historical ideas.

Onward:

THE YEARS OF LEAD Italy endured a low grade civil conflict starting in the 1960s. Various extreme right and left groups targeted each other, the government, civil society, and civilians with bombings, kidnapping, robberies, and assassinations. The extreme right’s goal was the notorious “strategy of tension“: to scare people with terror enough that they would accept a reactionary government. The left’s strategy: to mobilize the population enough to kick off a left-wing revolution. Both used violence and terror as risky but sometimes successful recruiting tools, as well as for resource-gathering (cf bank robberies). Violence and terror also kept the cycle going by instilling the desire for revenge in survivors, friends, family, and witnesses.

Strage di bologna - By Beppe Briguglio, Patrizia Pulga, Medardo Pedrini, Marco Vaccari - www.stragi.it/, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=301978

The 1980 Bologna railway massacre.

How might this apply to the United States? It is not difficult to foresee some extreme right-wing groups (3%ers, Oath Keepers, Proud Boys, etc) increasing their violent acts and becoming more ambitious. One established American precedent is The Order, a hard-right racist fringe outfit which conducted bank robberies and at least one assassination in the mid-1980s.  Following the Italian example, not to mention the action of some Republicans around the January 6th event, we would envision some politicians allying themselves with these fringe activists to varying degrees of secrecy or openness, for a shared cause and/or mutual benefit.

I’m not sure if there will be any such corresponding action on the extreme left, since so many are wedded to nonviolent action. But we could see such organizing happen if a group feels right-wing dangers are dire enough and if they are willing to obtain the necessary tools.  Perhaps right wing attacks will spur retaliation. Or maybe some will see their struggle as so fundamental to humanity that they must risk extreme action (cf the classic “if you had a time machine, would you travel to the 1920s and murder Hitler?” prompt).

Recall that in the Italian case the activists were very small in number. The Red Brigades numbered a few hundred out of a nation with circa 50 million people. The United States, in contrast, numbers nearly 330 million and is very well supplied with weaponry.

Recall, too, that in Italy’s Years of Lead neither side succeeded in taking over the government, even after kidnapping and killing a former prime minister.

CHINA’S CULTURAL REVOLUTION From 1966 to 1976 political chaos engulfed the People’s Republic of China. Chairman Mao, having lost a great deal of power due to the horrific failure of his Great Leap Forward, launched a political gamble to rebuild his leadership. The story is complex and not easy to summarize, but it took the broad form of a revolution from above, which developed into widespread unrest to the level of civil war.  Mao used national, regional, local, and cultural supporters to provoke political instability while building up a Stalin-level cult of personality.  To do this Mao and his allies ran huge propaganda campaigns, created new political-military units out of teenagers, spurred endless rounds of local political fighting (hence struggle sessions and escalating local violence), and purged leaders across the system, along with preparing the nation for war with the Soviet Union, and more.

China Cultural Revolution Tiananmen 1966_Wikipedia

(I recommend Frank Dikötter’s The Cultural Revolution: A People’s History, 1962—1976. The complexity of this story is immense, and its recency means it’s difficult to get perspective and documents.)

How might this play out in the United States?  Obviously the American situation is very different.  Contemporary America is a world leader and is neoliberal in ideology, as opposed to China’s developing nation status during these events, not to mention being a communist state. However, we could imagine a right wing American leader, such as Trump, applying some of Mao’s practices if he wins the 2024 presidential election. Imagine him authorizing various local groups (militias, friendly state governments, local or state police) and federal agencies to go after people he doesn’t like (liberal school boards, tech companies, whatever Trump thinks Antifa is). Trump (or DeSantis) could use federal powers to crack down on anyone he doesn’t like, such as sending troops to deep blue cities, increasing digital surveillance, or denying resources. Trump (or DeSantis) could also follow Mao in urging repeatedly updated political opinions, talking up foreign war to scare people at home, calling out domestic enemies, and generally building up a cult of personality.

Obviously there are limits to this analogy. Trump is no ideologue like Mao was; I’m not sure what a Little Red Book analog might be.  Further, today’s GOP counts economic growth as a major, even leading achievement, while a Cultural Revolution level of chaos would undermine that.

One thing to keep in mind: Mao succeeded, at least in terms of his drive to rebuild his own power. He lived the last years of his life in supreme authority, albeit in declining health, after dismantling some of his support structures.

THE DESTRUCTION OF YUGOSLAVIA In the 1990s this nation tore itself apart, as a nationalist party tried to seize and expand control over the whole republic, and as different sub-nations sought to secede. A powerful national army proved a major power source for the Serb hardliners, as did militias. Republics generated their own forces, including irregular militias. Violence escalated in cycles of vengeance and deliberately inflicted terror. Republics exited the federation while the war grew in complexity and horror.  Other nations intervened, eventually establishing a shaky peace – followed by more conflicts and more unstable settlements.

Stari_Most_viewed_from_North

Bosnia’s Stary Most (Old Bridge) over the Neretva River, rebuilt after being shattered in the war.

What vision for American conflict does the destruction of Yugoslavia present?  This is a more extreme model than the first two, but it could play out in several ways. imagine if Trump or DeSantis wins the White House and cracks down much harder than in the Mao model. Such suppression, surveillance, and violence provokes resistance at the state and city level. Democrats/liberals/the left attempt to secede in some way, such as declaring local autonomy from the Republican administration. They could organize self-defense forces at scale. This could spark an escalated federal crackdown. Any violence would drive all sides to further organization and action, and the nation spirals into civil war.

Alternatively, we could imagine the reverse, with a Democratic election victory and the Trump/reactionary right treating the winner as a tyrant. The latter could attempt to secede at the city, state, and/or regional level. They could organizing violence at various levels, from lone activists to militias or suborned local police, aimed against federal forces or locals perceived as aligned with them. The White House follows Lincoln in 1861 and responds with greater force. The civil war spiral kicks off.

Once more, there are obvious differences between the United States in the 2020s and post-Tito Yugoslavia. As with the Chinese comparison, America is not a communist state.  The USA is also more powerful geopolitically, not at the point of having foreign forces intervene and force settlements.  There are not clear-cut mixtures of ethnic, religious, and linguistic divides; the American situation is more complex.  Yet ethnic cleansing, should it occur, might take different forms, such as racial mass murder.


Why these historical examples out of all others?

First off, I was looking for situations that were as close to the present as possible.  That makes the comparisons less removed than, say, examples from Europe in the 1600s.  These histories are still distant from our present in key ways.  The contemporary internet, for example, could prove a powerful tool in any actor’s arsenal. The experience and impact of COVID-19 might inflect any such future history in ways quite different from our examples.

Second, for each one I began by isolating present-day factors which could drive civil unrest in the United States. Looking at dueling small groups in Portland, Oregon and the group which rioted in the US Capitol brought to mind the fierce, committed extremists of modern Italy. Considering Trump’s cult of personality, I looked for contemporary examples.  North Korea offers one, as does Italy’s Berlusconi, but not with the deliberate cultivation of chaos represented by Mao’s top-down revolution. Considering secession presents several alternatives, like Czechoslovakia’s split or the Eritrean war, but former Yugoslavia has advantages: a larger number of factions, a late industrial economic base, and a mix of ideologies with other identities.

Again, these are sketches. There is a lot more to say about each of those stories. There are plenty of ways today’s American context differs from each. Plus I have a lot more research behind this, but don’t want to overwhelm in a single FB post. My goal is to get you all thinking and commenting, so have at it.

(Bologna bombing photo by Beppe Briguglio, Patrizia Pulga, Medardo Pedrini, Marco Vaccari – www.stragi.it/, CC BY-SA 3.0; Cultural Revolution photo from Wikipedia; Mostar’s Stary Most image from Wikipedia)

**Bryan Alexander is an award–winning, internationally known futurist, researcher, writer, speaker, consultant, and teacher, working in the field of higher education’s future. He is currently a senior scholar at Georgetown University. Bryan's next book is Universities on Fire, to be published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This article was originally published at BryanAlexander.org.

Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Pedagogies of Repression: Ford, Trump and the War on Education (Henry A. Giroux and William Paul)

Analyses of fascism too often fixate on its most spectacular expressions: staggering inequality, systemic racism, the militarization of daily life, unbridled corruption, monopolistic control of the media, and the concentration of power in financial and political elites. Fascism thrives on a culture of fear and racial cleansing and the normalization of cruelty, lies, and state violence. Yet what is often overlooked is how culture and education now function as decisive forces in legitimating these authoritarian passions and in eroding democratic commitments. As Hannah Arendt, Jason Stanley, Richard Evans, Chris Hedges, and others remind us, the protean origins of fascism are never fully buried; they return in altered and often disguised forms, seeping into everyday life and reshaping the common sense of a society.

Under US President Donald Trump, we face a terrifying new horizon of authoritarian politics: the erosion of due process, mass abductions, vicious attacks on higher education, and the steady construction of a police state. Canada has not yet descended into such full-fledged authoritarianism, but troubling echoes are undeniable. Public spaces and public goods are under assault, book bans have appeared in Alberta, languages of hate increasingly target those deemed disposable, the mass media bends to corporate interests, labour is suppressed, and democratic values are met with disdain. These may not replicate the worst horrors of the past, but they reveal how culture and education become the terrain upon which democracy is dismantled and authoritarianism gains legitimacy. These are warning signs of a gathering darkness that must be confronted before they harden into something far more sinister.

Culture and Pedagogy

Fascism thrives not only on brute police power, prisons, or economic violence but also on culture and pedagogy. Culture has increasingly become a site in the service of pedagogical tyranny. It works through erasure and repression, through memory stripped of its critical force, and through dissent silenced in the name of order. Fascism is never solely a political or economic system; it is a pedagogical project, a machinery of teaching and unlearning that narrows the horizon of what can be said, imagined, or remembered.

Today authoritarianism seeps insidiously into everyday life, embedded in seemingly obvious maneuvers that consolidate power under the guise of technical or bureaucratic necessity. Its mobilizing passions often emerge unobtrusively in maneuvers that hide in the shadows of the mundane, often at the level of everyday experience.

This creeping logic is starkly visible in Ontario, where Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative (PC) government has moved to seize control of local school boards. What may look like routine administrative measures should be read as a warning: authoritarianism does not arrive only with grandiose spectacles or open attacks on democracy’s foundations; it gains ground quietly, through the erosion of the ordinary, the capture of the local, and above all, through the weaponization of education as a tool to dismantle democracy itself.

The Ford government’s seizure of the Toronto, Toronto Catholic, Ottawa-Carleton, and Dufferin-Peel Catholic district school boards is extraordinary, even for this democracy-averse regime. Education Minister Paul Calandra has even mused about eliminating trustees altogether before the 2026 local elections, declaring “Everything is on the table.” His justification that Ontario’s Ministry of Education (MOE) has allowed them to make too many decisions on their own is both unsupported and revealing. It exposes a deeper authoritarian project: the desire to centralize power and strip away democratic oversight from institutions closest to local communities. It curbs liberal instincts of trustees who see first-hand the vast diversity of lives and needs of the families who rely on their schools.

This is precisely how authoritarian control operates: by eroding intermediary structures that connect people to power. Just as Donald Trump sought to bend national cultural institutions like the Smithsonian Museum to his will, Ford dismantles the modest democratic functions of trusteeship. Both cases illustrate how authoritarianism works through the fine print of governance as much as through grandiose pronouncements.

Manufactured Deficits and Structural Starvation

The pretext for takeover was financial mismanagement. Yet none of the investigators found evidence of serious fiscal incompetence. The truth is that boards submitted balanced budgets year after year but only after slashing programs and services, closing outdoor education centres, selling property, cutting staff, and raising fees. What really drives their fiscal crises is a decades-old funding model – first imposed by the Mike Harris PC government in 1997 – that shifted resources from local taxes to provincial grants. This was not a move toward equitable funding; these were neoliberals of the first order who believed in central control of funding so they could squeeze school boards and education workers to contain costs.

This model, based on enrolment rather than actual need, starved boards of resources for special education, transportation, salaries, and infrastructure.1 For instance, school boards don’t get funding for actual children who need special education support but rather on the basis of a predictive model MOE devised. Boards pay for the kids MOE doesn’t fund. The Ford government hasn’t funded the full increase for statutory teacher benefits for years, leaving boards short by millions. The result is a structural deficit: chronic underfunding that leaves even well-managed boards teetering on insolvency. The Ford government, while claiming to increase spending, has in fact cut funding per student by $1,500 in real terms since 2018. This is the problem faced by with 40 percent of Ontario school boards.

It is this manufactured insolvency that led Minister Calandra to get the most out of a useful crisis and put the four school boards under supervision and maybe next eliminate all school boards in the province. Here we see neoliberal austerity converging with authoritarian ambition. Underfunding is not a policy mistake; it is a deliberate strategy to weaken public education, undermine trust in democratic institutions, and prepare the ground for privatization schemes such as vouchers and charter schools. In this instance, the policy of underfunding is a way of weakening public education and then blaming whatever problems occur on education itself. This is gangster capitalism at work, cloaked in the language of fiscal responsibility but fueled by a pedagogy of dispossession.

Eliminating Trustees, Silencing Communities

If board takeovers were simply about money, supervisors would have been told to just find savings. Instead, elected trustees were suspended, their offices shuttered, their tiny stipends cut off, and their ability to communicate with constituents forbidden. Calandra’s power grab has all the elements of Elon Musk’s DOGE assaults in the US: move fast, offer absurd excuses, and blame the victims. The supervisors replacing trustees – accountants, lawyers, and former politicians with no background in education – now wield greater power than the elected community representatives they displaced.

This substitution of technocrats for democratically accountable representatives is part of fascism’s pedagogy. It teaches the public to accept disenfranchisement as efficiency, to see obedience as order. Parents who ask why a program disappeared or why their child’s special education class has grown larger are now met with silence. In this vacuum, the lesson learned is that participation is futile and resistance meaningless – precisely the kind of civic numbing oligarchic fascism requires.

Command, Control, and the Policing of Education

Ford’s government frames these takeovers as a “broader rethink” of governance, but the real project is clear: the imposition of command and control over education. This move sends a strong message that it’s time to duck our heads and get back to basics: teaching “reading, writing, spelling, and arithmetic and the whole shebang…” as Doug Ford complained last fall after teachers and students attended a rally in support of the Grassy Narrows First Nation and its efforts to deal with generations of mercury contamination in their area. He proclaimed, with no evidence, that the field trip was “indoctrination” by teachers because activists protesting Israeli genocide were present. Community members who supported an Indigenous curriculum, modern sexual education, or even school-name changes honoring anti-colonial figures are dismissed or painted as obstacles. The message from Ford and Calandra is blunt: stick to the basics – reading, writing, arithmetic – and leave politics at the door.

Yet politics hangs over classrooms like a shroud. Despite his Captain Canada complaints about the Trump tariffs, Ford admires the President quick-marching America toward fascism. In an off-mic moment he commented recently: “Election day, was I happy this guy won? One hundred per cent I was.” It’s not the racism, the authoritarianism, the compulsive lying, the fraud, the sexual assaults that bothers the Premier; it’s that he got stiffed by his friend.

Usurping trustees according to University of Ottawa professor Sachin Maharaj is just another step toward the Progressive Conservatives’ goal to “squelch the pipeline of more progressive leaders”2 like those gaining notice and experience attending to the needs of local schools.

The banning of the Toronto Muslim Student Alliance’s screening of the film No Other Land, which documents Israeli settler violence, shows how censorship now masquerades as neutrality. This is the pedagogy of repression in action: narrowing what can be taught, remembered, or discussed until education is reduced to obedience training. What parades as a “broader rethink” is part of the authoritarian language of censorship and control. Like Trump’s attacks on “critical race theory” or his censorship of the Smithsonian, Ford’s moves are not about protecting students from politics but about protecting power from critique. The real issue here is constructing authoritarian policies that narrow critical thinking, teacher autonomy, essential funding, and knowledge that enable schools to both defend and facilitate democracy.

For Ford and his adherents, the real issue is not that schools are failing but that they are public and have a vital role to play in a democracy. The real threat to Ford is that a democracy can only exist with informed citizens. Yet that is precisely the role education should assume.

Bill 33: Codifying Authoritarianism

The perversely named Bill 33, the Supporting Children and Students Act extends this authoritarian logic. It allows the Minister to investigate boards or trustees on the mere suspicion they might act “inappropriately” or against the “public interest” – an elastic phrase that grants unchecked power. It checks much-maligned Diversity Equity and Inclusion efforts by refusing boards the right to name schools, forcing them to abandon diversity-affirming figures in favor of colonial or sanitized names. It mandates the reintroduction of police officers into schools, despite community opposition to surveillance and “unaccountable access to youth by cops.”3

At work here is the legacy of colonialism, a legacy that is terrified of diversity, of those deemed other, being able to narrate themselves. Viewed as threat, this anti-democratic language ultimately falls back on issues of control and security. This is one instance of how authoritarianism consolidates itself, not through tanks in the streets but through legislation that transforms education into an arm of the security state. Pedagogical spaces are militarized, memory is policed, and students are taught that surveillance is normal and dissent dangerous.

Trumpasitic Authoritarianism

Ford’s methods echo those of his southern counterpart. Just as Trump’s politics thrive on dispossession, erasure, and the weaponization of culture, Ford borrows from the same authoritarian playbook. The takeover of school boards not only tightens political control but also grants easy access to billions of dollars in public land, enriching developers tied to his government.4 Here, neoliberal profiteering fuses seamlessly with authoritarian centralization, an example of the merging of gangster capitalism with the pedagogy of repression.

What do you expect from a government that makes decisions reflecting the arrogance of power? The Ford government cut Toronto city council in half soon after took office in 2018 and threatened to use a constitutional override, the Notwithstanding Clause, Section 33 of Canada’s Charter of Rights and Freedoms, to overturn a Superior Court justice’s decision that the move was unconstitutional. Ford actually used the clause to push through a bill restricting election advertising in 2021 and again, pre-emptively, in 2022, buttressing back-to-work legislation against striking public workers, among the lowest paid in the province. He’s considering using it again after his decision to remove bike lanes from Toronto streets was overturned in court; power makes you petty.

Democracy in the Smallest Details

The takeover of Ontario school boards may appear less dramatic than Trump’s assaults on national institutions, but its implications are just as dire. Authoritarianism advances not only through spectacle but through the slow erosion of local democratic practices that once seemed secure.

If fascism is a pedagogy of fear, amnesia, and conformity, then resistance must be a pedagogy of memory, solidarity, and imagination. To defend education is to defend democracy itself, for schools are not simply sites of instruction but laboratories of citizenship, places where young people learn what it means to speak, to question, to remember, and to act. When trustees are silenced, when curricula are censored, when communities are stripped of their voice, what is lost is not only oversight but the very possibility of democratic life.

What is at stake, then, is far larger than budget shortfalls or bureaucratic reshuffling. It is whether the future will be governed by communities or dictated from above by those who mistake obedience for learning and silence for peace. Fascism thrives in these small erasures, in the details that seem technical until they harden into structures of domination.

The lesson could not be clearer: democracy dies in increments, but it can also be rebuilt in increments – through collective memory, through civic courage, through the refusal to allow education to become a weapon of obedience. To resist the Ford government’s authoritarian incursions is not only to protect local school boards; it is to reclaim the very ground on which democratic hope stands. •

Endnotes

  1. Dan Crow, The Consequences Of A Neoliberal Funding Formula, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, Fall/Winter 2018.
  2. Sachin Maharaj, Interview August 26, 2025
  3. Andrea Vásquez Jiménez, Interview June 7, 2025.
  4. William Paul, “Riding the Gravy Train” in Against the People: How Ford Nation is Dismantling Ontario, eds: Brian Evans, Carlo Fanelli, Fernwood Publishing, 2024.

Henry A. Giroux currently is the McMaster University Professor for Scholarship in the Public Interest and The Paulo Freire Distinguished Scholar in Critical Pedagogy. His most recent books include The Violence of Organized Forgetting (City Lights, 2014), Dangerous Thinking in the Age of the New Authoritarianism (Routledge, 2015), coauthored with Brad Evans, Disposable Futures: The Seduction of Violence in the Age of Spectacle (City Lights, 2015), and America at War with Itself (City Lights, 2016). His website is henryagiroux.com.

William Paul is editor of School Magazine website.

This article first appeared at the Social Project Bullet

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Therapists Can’t Fix What Society Broke (Steven Mintz)

[Editor's note:  This article first appeared at Steven Mintz's substack.]

What the Classical Social Theorists Knew about the Price We Pay for Progress—and We’ve Forgotten

On a recent flight, a small child in the row behind me shrieked with piercing intensity. The passenger beside me leaned over and whispered, with assurance, “He’s autistic.”

Neither of us knew the child. What we had was a familiar modern reflex: reaching immediately for a diagnostic label.

Yet the scene likely had simpler explanations. Any parent knows toddlers often melt down. They have immature nervous systems, poor emotional regulation, and lack the linguistic tools to express their discomfort.

Air travel makes this exponentially worse: altitude pressure that feels like a drill behind the eardrum, bright lights, crowding, disorientation, loss of routine, confinement in an airplane seat, and helpless parents who cannot walk, rock, or soothe as they ordinarily would.

In such a setting, a screaming child isn’t a clinical puzzle. He or she is a human being overwhelmed by an environment for which their developmental stage is simply unsuited.

But what struck me wasn’t the child’s distress—it was my fellow passenger’s interpretive leap. We now default to pathology. Behaviors that earlier generations would have recognized as overtiredness, frustration, temperament, or physiological misery are now reframed as sensory processing issues, spectrum behaviors, and emotional dysregulation.

A century ago, William James or Émile Durkheim would have been baffled by our eagerness to see ordinary distress as a clinical symptom. They assumed a different relationship between individuals and their environments. They looked first to situational explanations, developmental stages, social settings, and institutional pressures—not to internal pathology.

The classical social theorists were exquisitely attuned to context. They understood that behavior is produced not just by minds but by milieus; not only by individual traits but by social expectations, institutional routines, physical environments, and cultural frames.

They would have asked: What was the situation? What were the constraints? What was the child’s developmental stage? What stresses shaped the parents’ responses? Why do modern societies interpret certain behaviors this way?

Those are the questions we increasingly fail to ask.

The Classroom Mirror

I see this reflex every semester. Many students arrive with formal diagnoses—ADHD, social anxiety, depression, autism spectrum traits—and often understand these labels as central to their identity.

I don’t doubt these conditions are real for many. But far more often than we acknowledge, their struggles stem less from an intrinsic disorder than from a structural mismatch between who they are and the environments we place them in.

Large lecture halls; nonstop digital distraction; relentless assessment; pressure to perform perfectly; overcrowded advising systems; erosion of in-person community; feeling constantly watched and perpetually behind—these aren’t symptoms of personal pathology. They’re central to how colleges are currently designed. They generate anxiety, cognitive overload, disconnection, and inadequacy in perfectly healthy young adults.

Yet in a culture where we no longer know how to talk about situational or structural problems, students understandably look inward. What earlier generations might have described as exhaustion, loneliness, discouragement, confusion, or developmental turbulence is now interpreted as a disorder to be treated.

We diagnose individuals when the real problem lies in the systems, structures, and expectations surrounding them. Classical social theorists understood something we’ve forgotten—that human beings cannot be separated from the worlds they inhabit, and what looks like personal failure is often the predictable result of social arrangements, institutional pressures, and cultural transformations.

Many problems we treat as individual psychology are, in fact, social. What feels personal is often produced by institutions, expectations, and culture.

The Lost Questions

There’s a paradox at the heart of contemporary social analysis. We have more data than ever—surveys tracking happiness, studies measuring loneliness, algorithms predicting behavior, and neuroscience mapping the brain. We can quantify anxiety rates, document declining social trust, and measure screen time to the second.

Yet for all this empirical precision, we seem less able than earlier generations to explain why wealthy, free, technologically advanced societies produce so much unhappiness, alienation, and despair.

Classical social thinkers—from roughly the 1880s through the 1950s—understood something we’ve forgotten. They grasped that modernity wasn’t simply adding new goods (wealth, freedom, and technology) to human life while leaving fundamentals unchanged. It was dissolving the very frameworks, rituals, and structures that had given life meaning, connection, and purpose.

Modernity was a package deal, and the price of its benefits was the loss of much that made life livable.

Contemporary social science has largely abandoned this tragic sensibility. We analyze discrete variables—income inequality, screen time, political polarization—without attending to deeper structural transformations that generate these symptoms.

We prescribe technical fixes—better mental health services, regulated social media, and reformed institutions—without recognizing that problems run deeper than any policy intervention can reach.

The classical thinkers knew better. They understood that modernity’s discontents weren’t bugs to be fixed but features of the system itself.

What the Classics Saw

A core insight runs through the writings of Weber, Durkheim, Simmel, Tönnies, Polanyi, and others: modern life systematically dissolves the dense webs of meaning, obligation, and continuity that structured pre-modern existence. This dissolution wasn’t avoidable—it was the necessary condition for everything modernity promised.

Tönnies on the Shift from Community to Society

Ferdinand Tönnies’s distinction between gemeinschaft (community) and gesellschaft (society) captures what changed. Gemeinschaft described life organized around kinship, locality, tradition, and unreflective bonds that made people part of something larger than themselves. You didn’t choose your village, extended family, place in the social order, or obligations to neighbors. These were given, woven into existence’s fabric.

Gesellschaft described modern life organized around contract, choice, rational calculation, and instrumental relationships. You choose your career, residence, and associations. Relationships are voluntary, revocable, and organized around mutual benefit rather than organic solidarity. This brought enormous gains in freedom and opportunity. But it also meant nothing was given, everything was optional, all relationships were contingent rather than fixed.

The real loss wasn’t some sentimental yearning for village life. It was the disappearance of what Robert Nisbet called “intermediate institutions”—the extended families, congregations, civil associations, unions, and community networks that once connected individuals to one another and gave daily life structure, support, and meaning.

Church, guild, neighborhood, extended family, and craft tradition weren’t just social organizations but ontological anchors. They provided identity, purpose, standards of excellence, and narratives connecting past to future. When they dissolved or became voluntary lifestyle choices rather than unchosen obligations, something irreplaceable was lost.

Durkheim on Anomie

Émile Durkheim argued that people need moral frameworks—not in the sense of strict rules or puritanism, but shared expectations that help us decide what goals are reasonable and what counts as “enough.” Without those external standards, our desires have no limits; we keep wanting more without knowing why or to what end.

This breakdown of guiding norms is what Durkheim meant by anomie. It’s not just chaos or “normlessness.” It’s the collapse of the social structures that tell us how to measure success, how to live a meaningful life, and where to direct our ambitions. When those frameworks erode, people feel unmoored—driven by endless wants but with no sense of direction or satisfaction.

In the pre-modern world, Durkheim argued, people lived inside thick webs of meaning that helped them understand who they were, what counted as a good life, and when enough was enough. These frameworks came from many places: religious teachings about one’s duties, craft traditions that defined good work, sumptuary rules that kept status competition in check, seasonal rhythms that shaped time, and life-cycle rituals that marked major transitions.

These systems could certainly be restrictive, but most people experienced them as simply the way life worked—structures that offered direction, limits, and shared expectations.

Modernity dismantled many of these frameworks in the name of individual freedom and social mobility. Suddenly, people could aspire to anything and reinvent themselves entirely. But with old limits gone, desires multiplied. If you can always become more, achieve more, accumulate more, how do you ever know when you’ve done enough? What tells you that you are successful, secure, or “on track”?

The result wasn’t pure liberation. It was a new kind of burden: wanting without an obvious endpoint, striving without clear measures, comparing yourself endlessly to others with no shared standard to anchor the process.

This helps explain why so many people today feel anxious despite rising living standards. Wealth can meet basic needs, but it also fuels comparison—and modern life has stripped away many of the boundaries that once contained those comparisons. In achievement-driven cultures, where people set their own goals and judge themselves against constantly shifting internal standards, nothing ever feels sufficient.

Weber’s Iron Cage

Max Weber’s concept of rationalization captured another major shift in modern life: institutions stopped being guided by tradition, shared judgment, or moral purpose and instead became organized around efficiency, calculation, and technical control.

Decisions that once involved human judgment increasingly followed rules, metrics, and procedures. This made institutions more predictable and effective—but also more rigid and impersonal.

Modern life came to be shaped by what Weber called instrumental rationality: finding the most efficient means to a given end. Bureaucracies, markets, legal systems, and scientific institutions operate this way. The result was extraordinary productivity and administrative capacity. But it also stripped institutions of meaning and moral depth.

Weber called this disenchantment. The world no longer appeared as a moral or spiritual order. It became a set of problems to manage, resources to optimize, and processes to streamline.

His metaphor of the iron cage captured the paradox: we built rational systems to serve human needs, but those systems now constrain us. Bureaucratic procedures, market incentives, and technological imperatives keep operating even when they undermine human flourishing. Individuals become replaceable “human resources,” valued for their functions rather than their purposes.

Simmel on Metropolitan Life

Georg Simmel’s 1903 essay “The Metropolis and Mental Life” reads uncannily like a diagnosis of smartphone culture. Simmel argued that modern city life bombards people with constant sensory and social stimuli. To cope, the urban mind develops a protective numbness—a “blasé attitude”—marked by detachment, indifference, and a shrinking capacity to feel surprise or deep emotion.

Urbanites, he wrote, become more calculating because their social world is crowded with brief, superficial interactions. When you have to navigate countless encounters each day, you evaluate people quickly, in instrumental terms. The result is thinning of relationships: less depth, less intimacy, fewer truly authentic exchanges. The emotional and cognitive energy required for rich connection is already spent fending off overstimulation.

If you swap “metropolis” for “social media,” Simmel’s analysis becomes even more resonant. The endless feed, the pressure to maintain hundreds of shallow ties, the constant performance of the self, the transformation of attention and emotion into metrics—these conditions supercharge the very defenses Simmel described. We become numb to protect ourselves, then wonder why so little feels meaningful anymore.

Polanyi’s Great Transformation

Karl Polanyi’s The Great Transformation (1944) argued that the 19th century’s most radical innovation wasn’t the market—markets had existed for millennia—but the idea of a market society, where land, labor, and money themselves became commodities. This meant pulling these “fictitious commodities” out of the social relationships that once governed them and treating them instead as items to be priced, traded, and regulated entirely by the market.

The result dissolved an older emphasis on reciprocity and the notion of a moral economy. Labor became a commodity to be bought and sold rather than a social relationship with obligations on both sides. Land became real estate to be traded rather than patrimony connecting generations. Social relationships became transactions rather than obligations. This created enormous wealth and flexibility. It also destroyed the social fabric that had made life meaningful.

Polanyi’s key insight was that markets must be politically created and enforced. The “free market” required aggressive state intervention to break up common lands, abolish traditional rights, force people into wage labor, and override local customs limiting commodification. And once created, markets generated such social upheaval that societies repeatedly tried to protect themselves through counter-movements: labor unions, social insurance, land reform, and financial regulation.

Contemporary debates about the gig economy, social safety nets, and the commodification of previously non-market domains (education, healthcare, relationships) still work through Polanyi’s problematic. We keep discovering that some things don’t work well as pure commodities—they need embedding in social relationships and moral frameworks. But market society’s logic keeps pushing toward total commodification.

The Anthropological View

Classical anthropologists—Malinowski, Benedict, Lévi-Strauss—understood that pre-modern societies weren’t simply primitive versions of modern ones, but operated according to different logics. They were organized around ritual, symbol, myth, and kinship rather than instrumental rationality and individual choice.

Rituals weren’t quaint customs but mechanisms for managing life’s fundamental transitions and uncertainties. Birth, maturity, marriage, death—each required ritual marking to integrate individual experience into collective meaning. Seasonal cycles, agricultural rhythms, and religious calendars organized time as qualitatively different moments rather than homogeneous units to be optimized.

Modernity systematically dissolved these meaning-making structures. We still have transitions, but we lack rituals adequate to mark them. We have time, but it’s homogeneous—Monday differs from Sunday only in what we’re scheduled to do. We have choices, but we lack the frameworks that once made choices meaningful rather than arbitrary.

Selfhood as Social

George Herbert Mead, Charles Cooley, and Erving Goffman understood that selfhood isn’t individual but social—it emerges from interaction, from taking on roles, from seeing ourselves through others’ eyes. The self is fundamentally dialogical, constituted through relationships rather than prior to them.

This matters because modernity’s hyperindividualism misunderstands how selfhood actually works. We imagine autonomous individuals choosing identities from an infinite menu. But selves require stable social mirrors—enduring relationships and communities that reflect us back to ourselves consistently over time. When social life becomes fluid, optional, and temporary, selfhood itself becomes unstable and fragmented.

Goffman argued that everyday life works much like a stage. We are all performers who must read cues, manage impressions, maintain face, negotiate interactions, and avoid embarrassment. And this requires constant emotional and cognitive effort.

However, this work becomes exponentially harder when social roles are unclear, when we move among many different audiences (family, coworkers, online strangers), and when norms shift rapidly.

No wonder anxiety is epidemic. We’re constantly performing for audiences whose expectations we can’t know, managing impressions across incompatible contexts, lacking the stable roles that once made social interaction navigable.

Even though thinkers like Durkheim, Weber, Simmel, Polanyi, and Goffman sometimes overstated the contrast between “traditional” and “modern” life, their core insights remain indispensable. They identified pressures built into modern society—pressures we still feel every day.

Why We Forgot

If these thinkers diagnosed our condition so accurately, why did their insights fade from view?

1. Disciplinary tunnel vision: The classic theorists read widely—history, philosophy, psychology, anthropology—and tried to make sense of society as a whole. Today’s social sciences reward narrow specialization. We have far fewer attempts to pull the pieces together into a coherent picture of how modern life works.

2. The dominance of individual-based explanations: Much contemporary research, especially in economics and psychology, explains social problems as the sum of individual choices. That approach misses what the classics understood: that social structures—institutions, norms, incentives—shape what individuals can see, desire, or do. You can’t explain burnout, loneliness, or inequality only by analyzing individuals.

3. Faith in technical fixes: Durkheim and Weber believed modernity involved tragic tradeoffs: more freedom but less stability, more efficiency but less meaning. It’s easier to believe that social problems just need better policy, better design, better apps. The classics remind us that some tensions aren’t solvable; they’re intrinsic parts of the modern condition.

4. The retreat from big-picture thinking: After the 1960s, large theoretical systems fell out of fashion—often for good reasons. But the pendulum swung too far. We became wary of ambitious accounts of how society works. The result: many brilliant micro-studies but fewer frameworks to make sense of the whole.

What We Might Relearn

Returning to classical social theory is about recovering a way of thinking contemporary social science has largely abandoned: structural, historical, synthetic, attuned to modern life’s trade-offs and tragic dimensions.

We need to follow their example, and:

Understand problems as structural, not individual: The therapeutic turn treats unhappiness, anxiety, and alienation as individual psychological problems requiring individual solutions—therapy, medication, mindfulness. The classics understood these as social problems rooted in structural transformations. When Durkheim analyzed suicide, he showed it had social rates that varied systematically. Suicide was individual, but its causes were social. Similarly today: anxiety and depression have individual manifestations, but their epidemic proportions reflect structural conditions.

Recognize trade-offs: The classics saw that you couldn’t have individualism without anomie, rationalization without disenchantment, urban sophistication without blasé indifference. Contemporary discourse often assumes we can have everything—complete individual freedom and strong communities, endless innovation and cultural continuity. The classics suggest we can’t.

Recover a sense of history: The classic thinkers understood something we often forget: modern life is not just “human nature with gadgets.” It’s the result of specific historical changes that dissolved older ways of organizing family life, work, religion, politics, and even the self.

Attend to what can’t be quantified: The classics understood that the most important social realities—meaning, purpose, moral order, authentic community—resist quantification. This doesn’t mean they’re not real, just that they can’t be captured by the metrics contemporary social science favors.

Think about institutions as meaning-making structures: Modern social science often analyzes institutions in narrowly functional terms—schools educate, markets allocate, courts resolve disputes. The classic social theorists saw something deeper: institutions don’t just serve individuals; they form them. They shape our expectations, our aspirations, and even our sense of who we are. They teach us what to value, how to behave, and what kinds of lives are possible.

Making Sense of Our Moment

The classical social thinkers help explain phenomena contemporary frameworks struggle with:

Why Wealth Doesn’t Bring Happiness: Economics assumes that more resources mean more satisfaction. But the classic thinkers saw something different: when moral limits collapse and wants become endless, no amount of wealth brings peace.

Why Freedom Feels Like a Burden: We tend to imagine freedom as pure gain—more choice, more autonomy, more control. The classics remind us that freedom without structure is exhausting. When every commitment is optional, when identities must be invented rather than inherited, and when nothing outside us provides guidance, choice stops feeling liberating and starts feeling overwhelming.

Why Community Keeps Falling Apart: Modern policies try to “build community” through programs, initiatives, and apps. The classics understood that real community doesn’t come from design. It comes from shared obligations, common rituals, unchosen relationships, and continuity over time.

Why Technology Makes Things Worse, Not Better: We keep expecting technology to fix loneliness or rebuild connection. But when technology is built on market incentives and the logic of efficiency, it amplifies the very problems we hope it will solve.

Why Institutions Keep Failing Us: Everywhere we look, institutions feel brittle, ineffective, or hollow. Our reflex is to demand better rules, stronger incentives, more oversight. But the classics point to a deeper issue: institutions designed mainly for efficiency and productivity can’t also provide identity, purpose, or belonging.

Living in Modernity’s Ruins

The classical social theorists don’t give us easy fixes because they knew that none exist. They understood that we cannot slip back into pre-modern forms of community, cannot simply unwind the rationalization that organizes modern life, and cannot restore the thick, taken-for-granted social structures that modernity dissolved.

But what they can give us is clarity: clarity about what has been lost, about why our deepest problems endure despite extraordinary technical progress, and about which tensions are woven into the very fabric of modern life rather than amenable to policy tinkering or therapeutic intervention.

This might seem pessimistic, but there is a kind of liberation in it. If we stop expecting technical fixes to repair what are really cultural contradictions, we may finally learn to cultivate more realistic expectations—and more sustainable forms of flourishing.

And this is where a different kind of hope enters. While we cannot reenchant the world by wishing away modernity’s disenchantment, we can reenchant it through the things that only human beings can make: through art and music, through literature and ritual, through acts of creativity and meaning-making, through humanistic inquiry that deepens understanding, through scientific investigation that expands wonder, and through social scientific insight that clarifies the forces shaping our lives.

These are not substitutes for the old frameworks; they are the means of creating new ones.

The classical social thinkers help us see our moment with uncommon clarity because they stood close enough to modernity’s birth to witness both what was gained and what was lost. They watched the great transformation unfold and grasped its full scope in ways that are hard for us, living inside it, to perceive.

Recapturing their wisdom will require us to recover their tragic sensibility, their structural understanding, and their recognition that modernity’s benefits and costs come bound together.

We are richer, freer, healthier, and longer-lived than any previous generation. We are also more anxious, more isolated, more unmoored, and less certain of what makes life meaningful. The classics saw that these aren’t contradictions but two sides of the same coin.

Understanding this won’t magically make us happy. But it might help us confront our condition honestly—and perhaps learn to reenchant a disenchanted world in the only ways that remain open to us: through imagination, creativity, inquiry, and the hard-earned clarity of seeing things as they really are.

Steven Mintz

Recommend Steven Mintz to your readers

Professor of History, The University of Texas at Austin